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Changes in the AD-AS Model in the Short Run

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Changes in the AD-AS Model in the Short Run: AP Macroeconomics Guide



Introduction

Welcome, fellow economists and inquisitive minds! Today, we are diving deep into the fascinating world of the Aggregate Demand-Aggregate Supply (AD-AS) Model, specifically focusing on the short run. If economics were Netflix, the AD-AS model would definitely be your latest binge-worthy series. 📈🎬



Determinants of GDP

Let's kick off with some GDP determinants, which are the main characters in our economics drama. In other words, these are the big players that influence the shifts in aggregate demand and aggregate supply.

For aggregate demand, the star players are:

  • Consumer spending 🛒: You buying the latest smartphone or splurging on a weekend getaway.
  • Investment spending 💵: Businesses investing in fancy new machinery or cutting-edge tech.
  • Government spending 💰: The government splashing cash on infrastructure, education, or defense.
  • Net exports (exports minus imports) 💸: Think international trinket trading, but more serious.

On the other side, our aggregate supply team consists of:

  • Resource prices and availability: The cost and availability of labor, raw materials, etc.
  • Actions of the government: Like tax policies, regulations, or any surprise stimulus packages.
  • Productivity and technology: Those shiny new gadgets and software that make work a breeze.

All these determinants can shift their respective curves either left (decrease) or right (increase), setting the stage for big economic plot twists.



Negative and Positive Supply Shocks

Economic shocks are like surprise plot twists that can make or break the storyline of an economy.

A negative supply shock is like finding out there's a coffee shortage just when you need your morning fuel. Sudden scarcity of a key resource means higher production costs and less coffee (or goods) at any given price. Boom, the short-run aggregate supply (SRAS) curve shifts left.

Real-world example: Imagine oil supply disruptions in the 1970s, where prices soared higher than a caffeine junkie at 3 PM. This put pressure on every aspect of the economy, causing chaos and fear of not having enough fuel for your SUV, heater, or factory machines.

On the flip side, a positive supply shock is like suddenly finding an endless stash of coffee beans. If a key resource becomes more available, production gets cheaper and more efficient, shifting the SRAS curve to the right.

A cheerful example: The boom of the internet and information technologies between 1995 and 2000 led to skyrocketing productivity, making everything from shopping to cat videos faster and more accessible.



Key Scenarios Affecting the AD-AS Model in the Short Run

Now, let’s consider some scenarios that would make any economist's heart race—or at least speed up a bit.

Scenario 1: Consumer Income Drops Due to Increased Taxes

Imagine the feeling when your paycheck shrinks because of higher taxes. You’ll probably cut back on fancy dinners and movie nights. With less disposable income, consumer spending decreases, shifting the aggregate demand curve to the left. The result? Prices and GDP drop faster than your mood on a Monday.

Scenario 2: Higher Tariffs on Imported Inputs in Britain

Picture this: The British government slaps tariffs on imported goods. Suddenly, it's more expensive for businesses to get the resources they need. This means higher production costs and lower output, shifting the SRAS curve to the left. Prices go up, GDP goes down, and everyone's left grumbling over their morning tea.

Scenario 3: Cheaper Spanish Exports on the Global Market

Imagine Spain became the place for bargain hunters globally. With cheaper exports, everyone wants a piece of Spanish goods, increasing their net exports. Aggregate demand shifts to the right, hiking up both GDP and the price level. ¡Olé!

Scenario 4: Reduced Corporate Taxes

Finally, imagine companies discover they can pay fewer taxes. It’s like finding an extra slice of pizza in the box. With lower costs, businesses can produce more, so the SRAS curve shifts to the right. This leads to lower prices and a boost in GDP, making CEOs and economists alike rejoice.



Understanding the Impacts

When you see:

  • AD increases, expect higher real GDP, lower unemployment, and higher price levels.
  • AD decreases, brace for lower real GDP, higher unemployment, and lower price levels.
  • SRAS increases, anticipate higher real GDP, lower unemployment, and lower price levels.
  • SRAS decreases, prepare for lower real GDP, higher unemployment, and higher price levels.


Key Terms to Review

  • Aggregate Demand (AD): This is essentially the shopping list of the entire economy—all sectors’ beat on what they’re willing to purchase at varying price levels.
  • Aggregate Supply (AS): Think of this as the market's inventory—what all firms are gearing up to produce at different price levels.
  • Consumer Spending: The total splurge fest by individuals on goods and services.
  • Corporate Taxes: The levies on our beloved businesses, creating revenue for public services.
  • GDP (Gross Domestic Product): The grand total value of everything produced within a country’s borders.
  • Government Spending: Expenditures from the government on public projects and services.
  • Investment Spending: Forking out dough on capital goods by businesses and individuals.
  • Negative Supply Shock: Unexpectedly reduced resources leading to higher production costs and lower output.
  • Net Exports: The difference between a nation’s exports and imports.
  • Price Level: The average price tag for goods and services at a given time.
  • Productivity/Technology: Efficiency and advancements in producing goods and services.
  • Real GDP: GDP adjusted for inflation, painting a truer picture of economic output.
  • Resource Prices: Costs of acquiring production inputs.
  • Tariffs: Taxes on imported goods, making them pricier.
  • Unemployment Rate: The percentage of the labor force that's job-hunting.


Conclusion

There you have it, brilliant minds! The AD-AS model in the short run is like an epic soap opera of economic forces, filled with unexpected twists and moments of triumph. Understanding these dynamics will not only prepare you for your AP Macroeconomics exam but also help you see the world through the lens of an economist. Remember, in economics, every curve has a story, and now you’re well on your way to becoming the ultimate storyteller! 🎓✨

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