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Updated Mar 19, 2026

12 pages

Comprendre la Probabilité Conditionnelle

Tu vas découvrir les probabilités conditionnelles, un concept super... Show more

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# Probabilité Conditionnelle

Généré par Knowunity.fr - Sep 23

Description: Cet examen couvre la probabilité conditionnelle, les arbres pon

Introduction aux Probabilités Conditionnelles

Imagine que tu veuilles savoir si un composant électronique est vraiment cassé quand un test le dit défectueux. C'est exactement ce que permettent les probabilités conditionnelles !

Dans ce premier exercice, on découvre qu'une entreprise fabrique des composants dont seulement 2% sont défectueux. Elle utilise un test fiable à 95% pour détecter les défauts et à 98% pour confirmer que les bons composants fonctionnent bien.

Le plus fascinant ? Même avec un test très fiable, quand il dit qu'un composant est défectueux, il n'y a que 49% de chances qu'il le soit vraiment ! Ça peut sembler bizarre, mais c'est à cause du petit nombre de composants défectueux au départ.

À retenir : La formule de Bayes permet de calculer la probabilité qu'un événement soit vrai quand on connaît le résultat d'un test.

# Probabilité Conditionnelle

Généré par Knowunity.fr - Sep 23

Description: Cet examen couvre la probabilité conditionnelle, les arbres pon

Les Arbres Pondérés et les Transports

Les arbres pondérés sont comme des cartes routières pour les probabilités ! Dans l'exercice sur les transports, 60% des habitants utilisent les transports en commun et 40% leur voiture.

Voici ce qui est intéressant : parmi ceux qui prennent les transports en commun, seulement 10% arrivent en retard, contre 20% pour ceux en voiture. Au final, 14% des habitants arrivent en retard au travail.

Si quelqu'un arrive en retard, il y a environ 43% de chances qu'il ait pris les transports en commun. Ces événements ne sont pas indépendants car le moyen de transport influence les retards.

Astuce pratique : Pour vérifier l'indépendance, compare P(A∩B) avec P(A)×P(B). Si c'est différent, les événements sont liés !

# Probabilité Conditionnelle

Généré par Knowunity.fr - Sep 23

Description: Cet examen couvre la probabilité conditionnelle, les arbres pon

Tirages Sans Remise et Urnes Multiples

Quand tu tires des boules d'une urne sans les remettre, les probabilités changent à chaque tirage ! Avec 6 boules rouges et 4 noires, tu as 60% de chances de tirer une rouge au début.

Mais si la première est rouge, il ne reste que 5 rouges sur 9 boules, donc 5/9 de chances pour la deuxième. La probabilité d'avoir deux rouges consécutives devient 1/3.

Le problème devient encore plus cool avec deux urnes différentes ! En utilisant la formule de Bayes, on peut déterminer de quelle urne vient une boule rouge. C'est comme être détective avec les maths !

Le truc en plus : Dans les tirages sans remise, chaque tirage modifie la composition de l'urne pour les tirages suivants.

# Probabilité Conditionnelle

Généré par Knowunity.fr - Sep 23

Description: Cet examen couvre la probabilité conditionnelle, les arbres pon
# Probabilité Conditionnelle

Généré par Knowunity.fr - Sep 23

Description: Cet examen couvre la probabilité conditionnelle, les arbres pon
# Probabilité Conditionnelle

Généré par Knowunity.fr - Sep 23

Description: Cet examen couvre la probabilité conditionnelle, les arbres pon
# Probabilité Conditionnelle

Généré par Knowunity.fr - Sep 23

Description: Cet examen couvre la probabilité conditionnelle, les arbres pon
# Probabilité Conditionnelle

Généré par Knowunity.fr - Sep 23

Description: Cet examen couvre la probabilité conditionnelle, les arbres pon
# Probabilité Conditionnelle

Généré par Knowunity.fr - Sep 23

Description: Cet examen couvre la probabilité conditionnelle, les arbres pon
# Probabilité Conditionnelle

Généré par Knowunity.fr - Sep 23

Description: Cet examen couvre la probabilité conditionnelle, les arbres pon


We thought you’d never ask...

What is the Knowunity AI companion?

Our AI companion is specifically built for the needs of students. Based on the millions of content pieces we have on the platform we can provide truly meaningful and relevant answers to students. But its not only about answers, the companion is even more about guiding students through their daily learning challenges, with personalised study plans, quizzes or content pieces in the chat and 100% personalisation based on the students skills and developments.

Where can I download the Knowunity app?

You can download the app in the Google Play Store and in the Apple App Store.

Is Knowunity really free of charge?

That's right! Enjoy free access to study content, connect with fellow students, and get instant help – all at your fingertips.

Most popular content in Maths

Most popular content

Can't find what you're looking for? Explore other subjects.

Students love us — and so will you.

4.6/5

App Store

4.7/5

Google Play

The app is very easy to use and well designed. I have found everything I was looking for so far and have been able to learn a lot from the presentations! I will definitely use the app for a class assignment! And of course it also helps a lot as an inspiration.

Stefan S

iOS user

This app is really great. There are so many study notes and help [...]. My problem subject is French, for example, and the app has so many options for help. Thanks to this app, I have improved my French. I would recommend it to anyone.

Samantha Klich

Android user

Wow, I am really amazed. I just tried the app because I've seen it advertised many times and was absolutely stunned. This app is THE HELP you want for school and above all, it offers so many things, such as workouts and fact sheets, which have been VERY helpful to me personally.

Anna

iOS user

I think it’s very much worth it and you’ll end up using it a lot once you get the hang of it and even after looking at others notes you can still ask your Artificial intelligence buddy the question and ask to simplify it if you still don’t get it!!! In the end I think it’s worth it 😊👍 ⚠️Also DID I MENTION ITS FREEE YOU DON’T HAVE TO PAY FOR ANYTHING AND STILL GET YOUR GRADES IN PERFECTLY❗️❗️⚠️

Thomas R

iOS user

Knowunity is the BEST app I’ve used in a minute. This is not an ai review or anything this is genuinely coming from a 7th grade student (I know 2011 im young) but dude this app is a 10/10 i have maintained a 3.8 gpa and have plenty of time for gaming. I love it and my mom is just happy I got good grades

Brad T

Android user

Not only did it help me find the answer but it also showed me alternative ways to solve it. I was horrible in math and science but now I have an a in both subjects. Thanks for the help🤍🤍

David K

iOS user

The app's just great! All I have to do is enter the topic in the search bar and I get the response real fast. I don't have to watch 10 YouTube videos to understand something, so I'm saving my time. Highly recommended!

Sudenaz Ocak

Android user

In school I was really bad at maths but thanks to the app, I am doing better now. I am so grateful that you made the app.

Greenlight Bonnie

Android user

I found this app a couple years ago and it has only gotten better since then. I really love it because it can help with written questions and photo questions. Also, it can find study guides that other people have made as well as flashcard sets and practice tests. The free version is also amazing for students who might not be able to afford it. Would 100% recommend

Aubrey

iOS user

Best app if you're in Highschool or Junior high. I have been using this app for 2 school years and it's the best, it's good if you don't have anyone to help you with school work.😋🩷🎀

Marco B

iOS user

THE QUIZES AND FLASHCARDS ARE SO USEFUL AND I LOVE Knowunity AI. IT ALSO IS LITREALLY LIKE CHATGPT BUT SMARTER!! HELPED ME WITH MY MASCARA PROBLEMS TOO!! AS WELL AS MY REAL SUBJECTS ! DUHHH 😍😁😲🤑💗✨🎀😮

Elisha

iOS user

This app is phenomenal down to the correct info and the various topics you can study! I greatly recommend it for people who struggle with procrastination and those who need homework help. It has been perfectly accurate for world 1 history as far as I’ve seen! Geometry too!

Paul T

iOS user

The app is very easy to use and well designed. I have found everything I was looking for so far and have been able to learn a lot from the presentations! I will definitely use the app for a class assignment! And of course it also helps a lot as an inspiration.

Stefan S

iOS user

This app is really great. There are so many study notes and help [...]. My problem subject is French, for example, and the app has so many options for help. Thanks to this app, I have improved my French. I would recommend it to anyone.

Samantha Klich

Android user

Wow, I am really amazed. I just tried the app because I've seen it advertised many times and was absolutely stunned. This app is THE HELP you want for school and above all, it offers so many things, such as workouts and fact sheets, which have been VERY helpful to me personally.

Anna

iOS user

I think it’s very much worth it and you’ll end up using it a lot once you get the hang of it and even after looking at others notes you can still ask your Artificial intelligence buddy the question and ask to simplify it if you still don’t get it!!! In the end I think it’s worth it 😊👍 ⚠️Also DID I MENTION ITS FREEE YOU DON’T HAVE TO PAY FOR ANYTHING AND STILL GET YOUR GRADES IN PERFECTLY❗️❗️⚠️

Thomas R

iOS user

Knowunity is the BEST app I’ve used in a minute. This is not an ai review or anything this is genuinely coming from a 7th grade student (I know 2011 im young) but dude this app is a 10/10 i have maintained a 3.8 gpa and have plenty of time for gaming. I love it and my mom is just happy I got good grades

Brad T

Android user

Not only did it help me find the answer but it also showed me alternative ways to solve it. I was horrible in math and science but now I have an a in both subjects. Thanks for the help🤍🤍

David K

iOS user

The app's just great! All I have to do is enter the topic in the search bar and I get the response real fast. I don't have to watch 10 YouTube videos to understand something, so I'm saving my time. Highly recommended!

Sudenaz Ocak

Android user

In school I was really bad at maths but thanks to the app, I am doing better now. I am so grateful that you made the app.

Greenlight Bonnie

Android user

I found this app a couple years ago and it has only gotten better since then. I really love it because it can help with written questions and photo questions. Also, it can find study guides that other people have made as well as flashcard sets and practice tests. The free version is also amazing for students who might not be able to afford it. Would 100% recommend

Aubrey

iOS user

Best app if you're in Highschool or Junior high. I have been using this app for 2 school years and it's the best, it's good if you don't have anyone to help you with school work.😋🩷🎀

Marco B

iOS user

THE QUIZES AND FLASHCARDS ARE SO USEFUL AND I LOVE Knowunity AI. IT ALSO IS LITREALLY LIKE CHATGPT BUT SMARTER!! HELPED ME WITH MY MASCARA PROBLEMS TOO!! AS WELL AS MY REAL SUBJECTS ! DUHHH 😍😁😲🤑💗✨🎀😮

Elisha

iOS user

This app is phenomenal down to the correct info and the various topics you can study! I greatly recommend it for people who struggle with procrastination and those who need homework help. It has been perfectly accurate for world 1 history as far as I’ve seen! Geometry too!

Paul T

iOS user

 

Maths

32

Updated Mar 19, 2026

12 pages

Comprendre la Probabilité Conditionnelle

Tu vas découvrir les probabilités conditionnelles, un concept super utile qui permet de calculer des chances quand tu connais déjà certaines informations ! On va voir comment résoudre des problèmes avec des tests médicaux, des transports et des tirages... Show more

# Probabilité Conditionnelle

Généré par Knowunity.fr - Sep 23

Description: Cet examen couvre la probabilité conditionnelle, les arbres pon

Sign up to see the contentIt's free!

Access to all documents

Improve your grades

Join milions of students

Introduction aux Probabilités Conditionnelles

Imagine que tu veuilles savoir si un composant électronique est vraiment cassé quand un test le dit défectueux. C'est exactement ce que permettent les probabilités conditionnelles !

Dans ce premier exercice, on découvre qu'une entreprise fabrique des composants dont seulement 2% sont défectueux. Elle utilise un test fiable à 95% pour détecter les défauts et à 98% pour confirmer que les bons composants fonctionnent bien.

Le plus fascinant ? Même avec un test très fiable, quand il dit qu'un composant est défectueux, il n'y a que 49% de chances qu'il le soit vraiment ! Ça peut sembler bizarre, mais c'est à cause du petit nombre de composants défectueux au départ.

À retenir : La formule de Bayes permet de calculer la probabilité qu'un événement soit vrai quand on connaît le résultat d'un test.

# Probabilité Conditionnelle

Généré par Knowunity.fr - Sep 23

Description: Cet examen couvre la probabilité conditionnelle, les arbres pon

Sign up to see the contentIt's free!

Access to all documents

Improve your grades

Join milions of students

Les Arbres Pondérés et les Transports

Les arbres pondérés sont comme des cartes routières pour les probabilités ! Dans l'exercice sur les transports, 60% des habitants utilisent les transports en commun et 40% leur voiture.

Voici ce qui est intéressant : parmi ceux qui prennent les transports en commun, seulement 10% arrivent en retard, contre 20% pour ceux en voiture. Au final, 14% des habitants arrivent en retard au travail.

Si quelqu'un arrive en retard, il y a environ 43% de chances qu'il ait pris les transports en commun. Ces événements ne sont pas indépendants car le moyen de transport influence les retards.

Astuce pratique : Pour vérifier l'indépendance, compare P(A∩B) avec P(A)×P(B). Si c'est différent, les événements sont liés !

# Probabilité Conditionnelle

Généré par Knowunity.fr - Sep 23

Description: Cet examen couvre la probabilité conditionnelle, les arbres pon

Sign up to see the contentIt's free!

Access to all documents

Improve your grades

Join milions of students

Tirages Sans Remise et Urnes Multiples

Quand tu tires des boules d'une urne sans les remettre, les probabilités changent à chaque tirage ! Avec 6 boules rouges et 4 noires, tu as 60% de chances de tirer une rouge au début.

Mais si la première est rouge, il ne reste que 5 rouges sur 9 boules, donc 5/9 de chances pour la deuxième. La probabilité d'avoir deux rouges consécutives devient 1/3.

Le problème devient encore plus cool avec deux urnes différentes ! En utilisant la formule de Bayes, on peut déterminer de quelle urne vient une boule rouge. C'est comme être détective avec les maths !

Le truc en plus : Dans les tirages sans remise, chaque tirage modifie la composition de l'urne pour les tirages suivants.

# Probabilité Conditionnelle

Généré par Knowunity.fr - Sep 23

Description: Cet examen couvre la probabilité conditionnelle, les arbres pon

Sign up to see the contentIt's free!

Access to all documents

Improve your grades

Join milions of students

# Probabilité Conditionnelle

Généré par Knowunity.fr - Sep 23

Description: Cet examen couvre la probabilité conditionnelle, les arbres pon

Sign up to see the contentIt's free!

Access to all documents

Improve your grades

Join milions of students

# Probabilité Conditionnelle

Généré par Knowunity.fr - Sep 23

Description: Cet examen couvre la probabilité conditionnelle, les arbres pon

Sign up to see the contentIt's free!

Access to all documents

Improve your grades

Join milions of students

# Probabilité Conditionnelle

Généré par Knowunity.fr - Sep 23

Description: Cet examen couvre la probabilité conditionnelle, les arbres pon

Sign up to see the contentIt's free!

Access to all documents

Improve your grades

Join milions of students

# Probabilité Conditionnelle

Généré par Knowunity.fr - Sep 23

Description: Cet examen couvre la probabilité conditionnelle, les arbres pon

Sign up to see the contentIt's free!

Access to all documents

Improve your grades

Join milions of students

# Probabilité Conditionnelle

Généré par Knowunity.fr - Sep 23

Description: Cet examen couvre la probabilité conditionnelle, les arbres pon

Sign up to see the contentIt's free!

Access to all documents

Improve your grades

Join milions of students

# Probabilité Conditionnelle

Généré par Knowunity.fr - Sep 23

Description: Cet examen couvre la probabilité conditionnelle, les arbres pon

Sign up to see the contentIt's free!

Access to all documents

Improve your grades

Join milions of students

We thought you’d never ask...

What is the Knowunity AI companion?

Our AI companion is specifically built for the needs of students. Based on the millions of content pieces we have on the platform we can provide truly meaningful and relevant answers to students. But its not only about answers, the companion is even more about guiding students through their daily learning challenges, with personalised study plans, quizzes or content pieces in the chat and 100% personalisation based on the students skills and developments.

Where can I download the Knowunity app?

You can download the app in the Google Play Store and in the Apple App Store.

Is Knowunity really free of charge?

That's right! Enjoy free access to study content, connect with fellow students, and get instant help – all at your fingertips.

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Most popular content in Maths

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Can't find what you're looking for? Explore other subjects.

Students love us — and so will you.

4.6/5

App Store

4.7/5

Google Play

The app is very easy to use and well designed. I have found everything I was looking for so far and have been able to learn a lot from the presentations! I will definitely use the app for a class assignment! And of course it also helps a lot as an inspiration.

Stefan S

iOS user

This app is really great. There are so many study notes and help [...]. My problem subject is French, for example, and the app has so many options for help. Thanks to this app, I have improved my French. I would recommend it to anyone.

Samantha Klich

Android user

Wow, I am really amazed. I just tried the app because I've seen it advertised many times and was absolutely stunned. This app is THE HELP you want for school and above all, it offers so many things, such as workouts and fact sheets, which have been VERY helpful to me personally.

Anna

iOS user

I think it’s very much worth it and you’ll end up using it a lot once you get the hang of it and even after looking at others notes you can still ask your Artificial intelligence buddy the question and ask to simplify it if you still don’t get it!!! In the end I think it’s worth it 😊👍 ⚠️Also DID I MENTION ITS FREEE YOU DON’T HAVE TO PAY FOR ANYTHING AND STILL GET YOUR GRADES IN PERFECTLY❗️❗️⚠️

Thomas R

iOS user

Knowunity is the BEST app I’ve used in a minute. This is not an ai review or anything this is genuinely coming from a 7th grade student (I know 2011 im young) but dude this app is a 10/10 i have maintained a 3.8 gpa and have plenty of time for gaming. I love it and my mom is just happy I got good grades

Brad T

Android user

Not only did it help me find the answer but it also showed me alternative ways to solve it. I was horrible in math and science but now I have an a in both subjects. Thanks for the help🤍🤍

David K

iOS user

The app's just great! All I have to do is enter the topic in the search bar and I get the response real fast. I don't have to watch 10 YouTube videos to understand something, so I'm saving my time. Highly recommended!

Sudenaz Ocak

Android user

In school I was really bad at maths but thanks to the app, I am doing better now. I am so grateful that you made the app.

Greenlight Bonnie

Android user

I found this app a couple years ago and it has only gotten better since then. I really love it because it can help with written questions and photo questions. Also, it can find study guides that other people have made as well as flashcard sets and practice tests. The free version is also amazing for students who might not be able to afford it. Would 100% recommend

Aubrey

iOS user

Best app if you're in Highschool or Junior high. I have been using this app for 2 school years and it's the best, it's good if you don't have anyone to help you with school work.😋🩷🎀

Marco B

iOS user

THE QUIZES AND FLASHCARDS ARE SO USEFUL AND I LOVE Knowunity AI. IT ALSO IS LITREALLY LIKE CHATGPT BUT SMARTER!! HELPED ME WITH MY MASCARA PROBLEMS TOO!! AS WELL AS MY REAL SUBJECTS ! DUHHH 😍😁😲🤑💗✨🎀😮

Elisha

iOS user

This app is phenomenal down to the correct info and the various topics you can study! I greatly recommend it for people who struggle with procrastination and those who need homework help. It has been perfectly accurate for world 1 history as far as I’ve seen! Geometry too!

Paul T

iOS user

The app is very easy to use and well designed. I have found everything I was looking for so far and have been able to learn a lot from the presentations! I will definitely use the app for a class assignment! And of course it also helps a lot as an inspiration.

Stefan S

iOS user

This app is really great. There are so many study notes and help [...]. My problem subject is French, for example, and the app has so many options for help. Thanks to this app, I have improved my French. I would recommend it to anyone.

Samantha Klich

Android user

Wow, I am really amazed. I just tried the app because I've seen it advertised many times and was absolutely stunned. This app is THE HELP you want for school and above all, it offers so many things, such as workouts and fact sheets, which have been VERY helpful to me personally.

Anna

iOS user

I think it’s very much worth it and you’ll end up using it a lot once you get the hang of it and even after looking at others notes you can still ask your Artificial intelligence buddy the question and ask to simplify it if you still don’t get it!!! In the end I think it’s worth it 😊👍 ⚠️Also DID I MENTION ITS FREEE YOU DON’T HAVE TO PAY FOR ANYTHING AND STILL GET YOUR GRADES IN PERFECTLY❗️❗️⚠️

Thomas R

iOS user

Knowunity is the BEST app I’ve used in a minute. This is not an ai review or anything this is genuinely coming from a 7th grade student (I know 2011 im young) but dude this app is a 10/10 i have maintained a 3.8 gpa and have plenty of time for gaming. I love it and my mom is just happy I got good grades

Brad T

Android user

Not only did it help me find the answer but it also showed me alternative ways to solve it. I was horrible in math and science but now I have an a in both subjects. Thanks for the help🤍🤍

David K

iOS user

The app's just great! All I have to do is enter the topic in the search bar and I get the response real fast. I don't have to watch 10 YouTube videos to understand something, so I'm saving my time. Highly recommended!

Sudenaz Ocak

Android user

In school I was really bad at maths but thanks to the app, I am doing better now. I am so grateful that you made the app.

Greenlight Bonnie

Android user

I found this app a couple years ago and it has only gotten better since then. I really love it because it can help with written questions and photo questions. Also, it can find study guides that other people have made as well as flashcard sets and practice tests. The free version is also amazing for students who might not be able to afford it. Would 100% recommend

Aubrey

iOS user

Best app if you're in Highschool or Junior high. I have been using this app for 2 school years and it's the best, it's good if you don't have anyone to help you with school work.😋🩷🎀

Marco B

iOS user

THE QUIZES AND FLASHCARDS ARE SO USEFUL AND I LOVE Knowunity AI. IT ALSO IS LITREALLY LIKE CHATGPT BUT SMARTER!! HELPED ME WITH MY MASCARA PROBLEMS TOO!! AS WELL AS MY REAL SUBJECTS ! DUHHH 😍😁😲🤑💗✨🎀😮

Elisha

iOS user

This app is phenomenal down to the correct info and the various topics you can study! I greatly recommend it for people who struggle with procrastination and those who need homework help. It has been perfectly accurate for world 1 history as far as I’ve seen! Geometry too!

Paul T

iOS user